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OverviewWhere Are We in the CycleWhere is Bitcoin in its long-term range?
BITCOIN POWER LAW OSCILLATOR

Where is Bitcoin in its long-term range?

The same long-term trend, squeezed into one simple dial — from the floor of the range to the ceiling.

Updated 16 hours ago
THE READING
BELOW THE MIDDLE
Bitcoin is sitting in the lower part of its long-term range — the cheap side, where past cycles have found their footing.
29%of the way up its long-term range
→ Holding steady lately
WHERE THIS SITS
Bottom of the range · cheapTop of the range · stretched

0% is the floor of the corridor; 100% is the ceiling.

This is the long-term trend corridor squeezed into one simple dial.
What's changed lately
  • Lately it has been sliding down the range toward the floor.
  • It is sitting on the cheap side of the middle.
Where Bitcoin has sat in its long-term range, over the years
20132016201920222025MiddleStretchedWashed out

Above the middle line is the stretched side; below it is the cheap side. The swings between them have traced Bitcoin's cycles.

Reading the dial
Bottom of the range
Cheap
The floor of the long-term corridor — where past cycles have bottomed out.
Top of the range
Stretched
The ceiling of the corridor — where past peaks have formed.
Right now the dial sits about 29% of the way up — the cheap side.
What would change this read?

If it climbs toward the top of the range, it moves into the stretched zone that has marked past peaks.

If it sinks toward the bottom, it enters the cheap zone where past cycles have bottomed out.

Understanding Power Law Oscillator

The Power Law Oscillator takes the same long-term trend corridor and squeezes it into a single dial that runs from the floor of the range to the ceiling. The middle is the trend line itself.

When the dial sits low, price is in the cheap part of its long-term range — where past cycles have found their footing. When it sits high, price is stretched toward the top of the range, the way it has been near past peaks.

It's the simplest way to read the long-term trend model at a glance: one number for whether Bitcoin is cheap, fair, or stretched against its own fifteen-year path. A guide, not a guarantee — best used alongside the other cycle measures.