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BITCOIN REALIZED VOLATILITY

How wild are Bitcoin's price swings right now?

How much the price is actually moving day to day, measured over six windows from one week to one year, all on one honest scale.

Price swings measured over the past month

Usually daily
Bitcoin price swings by time window across history chartmaketomaketo.com/indicator/volatility0.0100.0200.0300.0201020132016201920222025NOW27.9 %
Past weekPast month3 months6 monthsPast year

Each line is how much the price moved day to day over one lookback window, scaled to a yearly rate so all six can share one chart. Short windows react fast; long windows carry the slow backdrop. Pick a window above to frame the chart to its range.

Past week. Latest displayed reading: 11.5 % on Aug 8, 2026. This view shows 419 dated readings from Jul 31, 2010 to Aug 8, 2026. The latest displayed reading is lower than the first. The displayed low is 4.5 % on Oct 27, 2018. The displayed high is 357.9 % on Mar 14, 2020.

2 weeks. Latest displayed reading: 24.8 % on Aug 8, 2026. This view shows 419 dated readings from Jul 31, 2010 to Aug 8, 2026. The latest displayed reading is lower than the first. The displayed low is 8.5 % on Apr 16, 2016. The displayed high is 494.0 % on Apr 20, 2013.

Past month (selected). Latest displayed reading: 27.9 % on Aug 8, 2026. This view shows 417 dated readings from Aug 28, 2010 to Aug 8, 2026. The latest displayed reading is lower than the first. The displayed low is 15.5 % on Apr 16, 2016. The displayed high is 358.6 % on May 4, 2013.

3 months. Latest displayed reading: 34.5 % on Aug 8, 2026. This view shows 413 dated readings from Oct 23, 2010 to Aug 8, 2026. The latest displayed reading is lower than the first. The displayed low is 26.6 % on May 14, 2016. The displayed high is 232.5 % on Jul 16, 2011.

6 months. Latest displayed reading: 38.4 % on Aug 8, 2026. This view shows 407 dated readings from Jan 15, 2011 to Aug 8, 2026. The latest displayed reading is lower than the first. The displayed low is 33.4 % on Nov 1, 2025. The displayed high is 210.4 % on Oct 22, 2011.

Past year. Latest displayed reading: 43.3 % on Aug 8, 2026. This view shows 393 dated readings from Jul 30, 2011 to Aug 8, 2026. The latest displayed reading is lower than the first. The displayed low is 40.9 % on Jan 24, 2026. The displayed high is 187.4 % on Oct 22, 2011.

Inspect a chart date

Arrow keys move one plotted point. Home and End jump to the first and latest points.

  • Past week: 11.5 %
  • 2 weeks: 24.8 %
  • Past month (selected): 27.9 %
  • 3 months: 34.5 %
  • 6 months: 38.4 %
  • Past year: 43.3 %

  1. How big are the swings right now?

    VERY CALM

    The price has barely moved day to day lately. Stretches this quiet are rare for Bitcoin. The past month has been calmer than about 93% of Bitcoin's whole history.

    Past month's moves, scaled to a yearly rate: 27.9%

  2. How do the different time windows compare?

    11.5%
    Past week
    24.8%
    2 weeks
    27.9%
    Past month
    the main reading
    34.5%
    3 months
    38.4%
    6 months
    43.3%
    Past year

  3. How does this compare with Bitcoin's history?

    Scored on the past month's swings, today sits deep in the calm end of its whole history.

    Dead calmWild swings
    Calmer than ~93% of Bitcoin's whole historyPast month is the window being scored

  4. What does this mean for you?

    Right now the market is unusually still. That is comfortable to hold through, but quiet like this rarely lasts for Bitcoin.

    One pattern from history is worth knowing. Long calm stretches have often come before big moves, in either direction. When little happens for months, attention drifts and positions pile up, and the eventual break has tended to carry more force. Wild stretches have been the opposite, arriving suddenly and burning out. None of that says which way the price goes next. Calm is not a green light and wild is not a red one; this page reads the size of the moves, never their direction.

    How we measure it: we take the price's day-to-day moves over each window, then scale them to a yearly rate. A reading of 30% means a year of days like these would typically swing about 30%. All six windows use the same math, which is why they can sit on one chart. This describes what the price has been doing. It is not a forecast, and not advice to buy or sell.

Is Bitcoin cheap or stretched? →
Where the price sits against its 200-day average.
Below its two-year average? →
The slow, big-picture read on where the price sits.
Bitcoin's price right now →
The live price chart behind these swing readings.

Understanding Realized Volatility

Realized volatility answers a simple question: how big have the daily moves actually been? Take every day's price change over a window, measure how spread out those changes were, and scale the result to a yearly rate. A reading of 40% means that if the price kept moving the way it just has, a typical year would see swings on that order.

The six windows are six different memories of the same market. The one-week line only remembers the last few days, so it spikes and collapses quickly. The one-year line remembers everything back a full year, so it drifts slowly and carries the regime. When the short windows sit far below the long ones, the market has gone quieter than its own recent past.

Stretches of unusually small swings have often come before large moves, in either direction. Markets rarely stay still for long, though the still spells can drag on longer than anyone expects. Big-swing stretches tend to cluster too: turbulence arrives in bunches rather than fading evenly.

Every window here is measured the same way, on the same price series, and scaled the same. That matters because volatility numbers from different sources often use different windows and different scaling, and mixing them quietly is how charts mislead. This page picks one method and names it.