BITCOIN REALIZED VOLATILITY
How wild are Bitcoin's price swings right now?
See how big Bitcoin's daily moves have been, over six windows from one week to one year.
1 month: how big the daily moves were
Each line is how much the price moved day to day over one lookback window, scaled to a yearly rate so the windows are comparable. Short windows react fast; long windows carry the slow backdrop. The chart draws the window you pick and its two nearest neighbours. Pick another above to slide it.
Inspect and compare dates
Compare the swings on two dates.
| Time window | Change | Relative change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | 28.7% | 15.3% | −13.4% | −46.7% |
| 2 weeks | 55.1% | 48.7% | −6.4% | −11.6% |
| 1 month | 43.3% | 41.0% | −2.3% | −5.3% |
| 3 months | 40.6% | 38.8% | −1.8% | −4.4% |
| 6 months | 39.5% | 38.0% | −1.5% | −3.8% |
| 1 year | 44.1% | 45.1% | +1.0% | +2.3% |
Right now
Daily moves have been running smaller than usual.
The market is quieter than its normal self. At the 28 Sep 2026 close, the past month's daily moves worked out at 41.0% a year.
What changed
The past month's swings have narrowed, from 43.3% a year to 41.0%, over the past 30 days.
That is the move between the 29 Aug 2026 reading and the 28 Sep 2026 one. The comparison below opens on the same two days.
The six time windows
The past week's moves work out at 15.3% a year and the past year's at 45.1%. The past month, the window this page scores, sits at 41.0%.
Short windows only remember the last few days, so they spike and collapse quickly. Long windows carry the slow backdrop.
Against Bitcoin's whole history
Scored on the past month's swings, today sits toward the calm end of its whole history.
The past month has been calmer than about 77% of Bitcoin's whole history.
What this means for you
Right now the market is on the quiet side. Daily moves are smaller than usual, the kind of stretch that is easy to stop paying attention to.
This page reads the size of the moves, never their direction. Calm is not a green light and wild is not a red one.
How to read it
Every window is measured the same way on the same price series and scaled the same, which is why they can sit on one chart.
A reading of 40% means that if the price kept moving the way it just has, a typical year would see swings on that order.
Understanding
Realized Volatility
Where it stands today
Bitcoin's day-to-day moves over the past month work out at swings of about 41.0% over a year, which reads as calm as of .
What is being measured?
Take every day's price change over a window, measure how spread out those changes were, and scale the result to a yearly rate. Today the past month's moves work out at 41.0% a year, which means that if the price kept moving the way it just has, a typical year would see swings on that order.
Why six windows?
They are six different memories of the same market. The one-week line only remembers the last few days, so it spikes and collapses quickly; today it reads 15.3%. The one-year line remembers everything back a full year, so it drifts slowly and carries the regime; today it reads 45.1%. When the short windows sit far below the long ones, the market has gone quieter than its own recent past.
Does calm say anything about what comes next?
Stretches of unusually small swings have often come before large moves, in either direction. When little happens for months, attention drifts and positions pile up, and the eventual break has tended to carry more force. Big-swing stretches have been the opposite, arriving suddenly and burning out. None of that says which way the price goes next.
Why does the method matter?
Swing numbers from different sources often use different windows and different scaling, and mixing them quietly is how charts mislead. Every window here is measured the same way, on the same price series, and scaled the same. That is what lets six of them share one chart.
The numbers
behind the chart
What does the current reading show?
1 week: the latest reading is 15.3%, on . The highest reading since is 618.2% on ; the lowest is 3.7% on .
2 weeks: the latest reading is 48.7%, on . The highest reading since is 495.1% on ; the lowest is 7.1% on .
1 month: the latest reading is 41.0%, on . The highest reading since is 359.5% on ; the lowest is 13.2% on .
3 months: the latest reading is 38.8%, on . The highest reading since is 241.3% on ; the lowest is 22.2% on .
6 months: the latest reading is 38.0%, on . The highest reading since is 212.5% on ; the lowest is 32.2% on .
1 year: the latest reading is 45.1%, on . The highest reading since is 188.6% on ; the lowest is 40.9% on .
Daily readings since 24 Jul 2010 let you compare today with earlier months. Highest and lowest cover every reading since then; month-end values use the last reading on or before that date. A window shows no reading until it has filled, so the longer windows start later. The past month, the window this page scores, is at 41.0%.
What are the latest, highest and lowest readings?
| Measure | Latest | Highest | Lowest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | 15.3% | 618.2% | 3.7% |
| 2 weeks | 48.7% | 495.1% | 7.1% |
| 1 month | 41.0% | 359.5% | 13.2% |
| 3 months | 38.8% | 241.3% | 22.2% |
| 6 months | 38.0% | 212.5% | 32.2% |
| 1 year | 45.1% | 188.6% | 40.9% |
How do the readings compare with earlier dates?
| Reference date | 1 week | 2 weeks | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | 31.0% | 55.3% | 43.3% | 40.6% | 39.6% | 44.2% |
| 3 months ago | 25.8% | 26.5% | 42.6% | 36.7% | 49.0% | 43.1% |
| 6 months ago | 49.3% | 46.4% | 49.8% | 58.7% | 51.1% | 44.3% |
| 1 year ago | 37.1% | 28.2% | 23.4% | 29.2% | 35.8% | 43.7% |
| 2 years ago | 27.2% | 31.0% | 39.7% | 53.3% | 50.4% | 51.6% |
What was the reading at each month’s end?
| Reading date | 1 week | 2 weeks | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.6% | 55.2% | 41.5% | 40.2% | 39.0% | 44.1% | |
| 31.6% | 28.5% | 30.5% | 34.8% | 48.6% | 43.4% | |
| 27.8% | 28.8% | 43.4% | 36.7% | 49.1% | 43.1% | |
| 18.1% | 22.2% | 24.7% | 38.2% | 48.0% | 42.1% | |
| 19.9% | 31.5% | 35.8% | 59.0% | 50.3% | 42.8% | |
| 40.8% | 43.8% | 49.1% | 58.9% | 51.1% | 44.3% | |
| 58.6% | 44.7% | 80.9% | 55.7% | 48.0% | 46.2% | |
| 58.3% | 48.2% | 43.0% | 41.7% | 38.7% | 41.8% | |
| 15.1% | 20.5% | 33.8% | 41.0% | 36.0% | 41.7% | |
| 28.3% | 41.0% | 44.0% | 38.8% | 35.4% | 42.3% | |
| 31.0% | 29.8% | 41.4% | 35.3% | 33.4% | 43.9% | |
| 36.3% | 29.2% | 24.1% | 29.2% | 35.6% | 43.5% | |
| 35.8% | 38.3% | 35.2% | 31.4% | 42.0% | 44.6% | |
| 17.6% | 18.6% | 25.8% | 31.0% | 44.6% | 47.7% | |
| 14.2% | 28.6% | 31.3% | 41.3% | 46.6% | 49.0% | |
| 21.0% | 35.4% | 35.1% | 53.5% | 48.2% | 49.1% | |
| 14.3% | 35.1% | 53.7% | 54.6% | 52.5% | 50.4% | |
| 24.0% | 40.0% | 66.6% | 51.0% | 50.1% | 50.3% | |
| 44.8% | 39.4% | 37.8% | 42.0% | 45.4% | 51.3% | |
| 28.7% | 35.3% | 42.9% | 49.8% | 50.0% | 51.9% | |
| 31.2% | 43.7% | 43.9% | 47.9% | 51.3% | 52.7% | |
| 51.4% | 44.9% | 59.2% | 47.7% | 49.9% | 52.8% | |
| 44.7% | 37.6% | 35.7% | 51.5% | 48.0% | 51.3% | |
| 38.7% | 34.7% | 41.9% | 53.5% | 50.4% | 51.6% |
Source: Maketo's daily record of Bitcoin's price. Reading for .