BITCOIN 200-WEEK MOVING AVERAGE
Is Bitcoin near its long-term floor?
Put today's price beside the level Bitcoin has almost never stayed below.
Just above the floor
Latest close,The floor describes where price has been, not a level it has to hold.
Price and its 200-week average
The white line is Bitcoin's price, one close a week and the newest one the latest complete day. The line under it is its 200-week average, coloured by how fast the average is climbing: the darker the violet the slower, the paler the faster. The shaded gap between them is the cushion. Price finished under the average in 55 of the 648 weekly readings since May 2014, about 8% of them.
Inspect and compare dates
Compare price, the floor and the gap between them on two dates.
| Measure | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price | $63,593 | $83,463 | +$19,870 |
| 200-week average | $62,659 | $66,167 | +$3,508 |
| Distance above the average | +1.5% | +26.1% | +24.65 points |
Just above the floor
Bitcoin is a short way above its long-term floor, still on the cheap side of where it has historically traded.
At the 28 Sep 2026 close, price was $83,463 against a 200-week average of $66,167, 26.1% above it. That is 1.26× the average.
What changed
The gap moved from 1.5% above the average to 26.1% above it over the past 13 weeks, since 5 Jul 2026.
That is 24.7 percentage points further from the floor. The average itself went from $62,659 to $66,167 over the same weeks, so part of any change in the gap is the floor rising to meet price. It went under the average 2 times on the way, most recently in the week to 16 Aug 2026.
How often it goes under
Price finished under the 200-week average in 55 of the 648 weekly readings since May 2014, about 8% of them.
The longest of those spells ran 30 weeks, about 7 months, from 21 Aug 2022 to 12 Mar 2023. The most recent was a single week, to 16 Aug 2026. That is what “almost never below” means in weeks, and it is why the level is read as a floor rather than a promise.
How fast the floor is rising
The average climbed 2.0% over the four weeks to 28 Sep 2026. On the chart's scale that is rising slowly, its 2% to 3.5% band.
21.7% of the four-week stretches on this record were this slow or slower. Across the 644 weekly readings on this record it has been rising slowly on 255, about 40% of them. The fastest four weeks were 27.3%, to 31 Dec 2017.
What to watch from here
- The gap stands at 26.1% above the average, at $83,463 against a floor of $66,167.
- The floor rises every week: it went from $53,101 to $66,167 over the past year, 24.6% higher. A price that holds still therefore loses its cushion as the floor comes up to meet it.
- Watch whether the cushion keeps widening away from the floor at $66,167, or turns back toward it.
How to read it
The floor is a long average, so it moves slowly and says nothing about the next few weeks.
A cushion this size tells you where price sits against four years of its own history. It does not say when the gap closes, or from which side.
Compare it with the 200-day average, the shorter-range cousin
Understanding
200-Week Moving Average Heatmap
Where it stands today
Bitcoin trades at 1.26× its 200-week average price as of .
What is the 200-week average?
It is Bitcoin's price averaged over its last 200 weeks, roughly four years. Averaging that many weeks leaves a line that barely wobbles, so it makes a steady yardstick to hold price against. Since May 2014 the close has finished under it in 55 of its 648 weekly readings, about 8% of them, and the longest unbroken spell under it ran 30 weeks.
Why is it read as a floor?
Because price has spent nearly its whole history above it, and the times it dipped under were short by comparison. That is a pattern in what has happened, not a rule about what must. Nothing stops price sitting under the line, and it has.
What does the colour on the line mean?
The average is drawn at its own price and coloured by how much it climbed over the four weeks ending that week, which is the chart this page is named for. The four shades are Barely rising (under 2%), Rising slowly (2% to 3.5%), Rising steadily (3.5% to 6%) and Rising fast (6% or more). Across the 644 weekly readings on this record it has been barely rising on 139, rising slowly on 255, rising steadily on 157 and rising fast on 93. The darkest violet is the slowest climb and the palest the fastest.
Why does the floor keep rising?
Each week the average drops the price from 200 weeks ago and adds the newest one, so it climbs whenever recent prices are higher than the ones leaving. Over the past year it went from $53,101 to $66,167, 24.6% higher. That is why a price that goes nowhere still loses cushion: the floor is coming up underneath it.
How often does the reading change?
The record steps a week at a time, anchored on Sundays, and the newest reading is brought up to the latest complete day, which is why the last step is sometimes shorter than a week. The only live figure is the dot at the end of the price line in the Price and floor view, which follows the price as it moves. Every reading in the text runs to the 28 Sep 2026 close.
Why is the price scale squashed?
Bitcoin traded in the hundreds in 2014 and in the tens of thousands now. The scale gives equal space to equal percentage moves, so both ends of that history fit one frame without flattening the early years.
How is this different from the 200-day average?
The 200-day average follows price closely enough to turn within a single market swing. This one takes four years to turn, so it reads the long arc rather than the current move. Open the 200-day average.
The numbers
behind the chart
What does the current reading show?
Bitcoin price: the latest reading is $83,462.70, on . The highest reading since is $123,500.65 on ; the lowest is $210.62 on .
200-week average: the latest reading is $66,167.05, on . The highest reading since is $66,167.05 on ; the lowest is $110.66 on .
Distance above the average: the latest reading is +26.1%, on . The highest reading since is +1426.3% on ; the lowest is −32.2% on .
Weekly readings since 11 May 2014 let you compare this week with earlier months. Highest and lowest cover every reading since then; month-end values use the last reading on or before that date. The average is a 200-week average, so it moves a little each week and never jumps.
What are the latest, highest and lowest readings?
| Measure | Latest | Highest | Lowest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price | $83,462.70 | $123,500.65 | $210.62 |
| 200-week average | $66,167.05 | $66,167.05 | $110.66 |
| Distance above the average | +26.1% | +1426.3% | −32.2% |
How do the readings compare with earlier dates?
| Reference date | Bitcoin price | 200-week average | Distance above the average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | $77,734.00 | $64,285.75 | +20.9% |
| 3 months ago | $59,489.50 | $62,441.26 | −4.7% |
| 6 months ago | $67,859.50 | $59,062.44 | +14.9% |
| 1 year ago | $112,184.88 | $53,100.88 | +111.3% |
| 2 years ago | $63,575.93 | $39,291.86 | +61.8% |
What was the reading at each month’s end?
| Reading date | Bitcoin price | 200-week average | Distance above the average |
|---|---|---|---|
| $77,681.60 | $64,571.02 | +20.3% | |
| $65,341.07 | $63,327.76 | +3.2% | |
| $59,489.50 | $62,441.26 | −4.7% | |
| $73,575.17 | $61,625.27 | +19.4% | |
| $78,658.77 | $60,215.83 | +30.6% | |
| $65,983.93 | $59,245.07 | +11.4% | |
| $67,627.49 | $58,370.79 | +15.9% | |
| $86,616.90 | $57,790.91 | +49.9% | |
| $87,914.15 | $56,798.79 | +54.8% | |
| $90,368.40 | $55,825.90 | +61.9% | |
| $114,552.80 | $54,424.69 | +110.5% | |
| $112,184.88 | $53,100.88 | +111.3% | |
| $108,248.12 | $52,055.23 | +108.0% | |
| $119,452.41 | $50,624.76 | +136.0% | |
| $108,372.75 | $49,240.56 | +120.1% | |
| $109,026.79 | $47,752.20 | +128.3% | |
| $93,759.15 | $46,366.35 | +102.2% | |
| $82,384.99 | $45,386.49 | +81.5% | |
| $96,263.35 | $44,414.71 | +116.7% | |
| $102,588.75 | $43,599.50 | +135.3% | |
| $93,650.48 | $42,731.20 | +119.2% | |
| $97,953.52 | $41,389.20 | +136.7% | |
| $67,982.45 | $40,400.94 | +68.3% | |
| $65,601.51 | $39,528.93 | +66.0% |
Source: Maketo's weekly record of Bitcoin's price and its 200-week average. Reading for .